Reports are in of a nightclub shooting in Cincinnati; one dead and 14 injured. No suspects captured as of yet.
With just the information from the Daily Mail’s headline, can we use our rules of thumb to paint a more detailed picture of the crime and the criminal?
Recall the Leaded Law: Because marksmanship is just another form of White Privilege, the casualty ratio in a mass shooting is usually a good (but not perfect) indicator of the demographic profile of the shooter, as follows:
Casualty Ratio (Killed:Wounded) Profile of Shooter
Lower than 1:3 Young Black Male
Greater than 1:3, lower than 2:1 Young “Irish” or Hispanic Male
Greater than 2:1 Young White Male
With a casualty ratio of 1:14, I’m going to guess that the shooter was a young Black male gang member with a score to settle.
We’ll follow this story and see how it turns out.